Analysis on the Driving Factors of China 's Elevator Industry
① commercial real estate growth
China's commercial real estate growth, mainly by the commercial housing market, office buildings and commercial development of business premises market driven. In the housing market, with the second half of 2010, real estate regulation and control, the market growth has slowed, but the overall macro-control policy to curb speculative demand for second-tier cities commercial housing, and housing improvement needs and three Line city commercial housing market development is not within the scope of regulation, therefore, after regulation, the market presents a more rational, steady growth. According to the National Bureau of Statistics data show that in 2011 and 2012, the domestic real estate sales area of 10.94 and 1113 million square meters, respectively, compared with the previous year growth of 4.39% and 1.74%, the market growth trend is not affected by macroeconomic regulation and control.
In the office buildings and commercial premises, the market in recent years, showing a sustained and rapid growth trend.
According to the National Bureau of Statistics data show that in 2003 China's office buildings and commercial premises investment to complete the amount of 1,810.69 billion in 2012 to complete the investment has reached 1.2679 trillion yuan, the average annual compound growth rate of 24.14%.
② urban infrastructure construction
The steady growth of macro-economy, and promote China's urbanization rate continues to increase. According to the National Bureau of Statistics data show that in 2012 China's urbanization rate was 52.57%, compared with 2002 increased by 13.48 percentage points, the average annual urbanization rate increased by 1.35%, in accordance with the overall goal of building a moderately prosperous society, The rate will reach 60%.
Urbanization rate continues to increase, driven by China's airports, railway stations, hospitals, stadiums and other public infrastructure construction scale. In the airport construction, as of the end of 2012, China has a total of 183 certified transport airports, according to "China's civil aviation development of the twelfth five-year plan" to 2015, the number of civil airports across the country will be more than 230; , To benefit from the increase in investment in railway construction to the end of 2012, China's various types of passenger railway station has more than 1,900; in hospital construction, according to "2012 China's health and family planning statistics bulletin" shows that in 2012 China's public hospitals In the stadium construction, as of the "Eleventh Five-Year" at the end of China's various types of stadiums has more than 1 million, according to the "development of the sports undertakings "Twelfth Five-Year" plan "to 2015, all types of sports venues will reach more than 1.2 million.
③ the protection of housing construction
In recent years, affordable housing construction in the national policy support rapid growth. According to the National Bureau of Statistics data show that in 2011 China's housing security basically completed 4.32 million sets of new construction of 10.43 million sets of new construction in 2012, 7.81 million sets, completed 6.01 million units. According to the national "12 5" construction of 36 million units during the protection of housing objectives, the future of the protection of housing construction on the elevator demand will reach 50-60 million units (Source: China Merchants Securities Research Institute).
④ old elevator renewal and transformation of old buildings
In the field of the old elevator update, the elevator more than the provisions of the service life is still illegal operation, will bring the elevator safety aspects of major risks. According to the Regulations on the Supervision of Special Equipment Safety promulgated by the State Council, special equipment shall be scrapped in a timely manner if there is a serious accident hidden danger, no alteration, maintenance value or exceeding the service life stipulated in the safety technical specification. According to China Elevator Association, "National Elevator Industry Business Yearbook" data and 15-year compulsory retirement of the elevator industry regulations, 2013-2015 China will lift the amount of updates will be 30,200 units, 32,500 units and 37,500 units.
In the field of transformation of old buildings, with the socio-economic level and population aging, in the existing building in the demand for the installation of elevators has attracted the attention of government departments. Ministry of Construction in the "Eleventh Five-Year" key scientific and technological support projects listed in the special, the transformation of existing buildings to study, in particular, the transformation of existing buildings on how to install elevators to set up special issues related to policies, investment, technology, , Transformation program, demand, approval procedures and other aspects of the comprehensive study. At present, the installation of elevators in old buildings has been piloted in Beijing and other places and will be gradually popular in the country, according to China Merchants Securities Research Institute predicted that there are only 20 million Shanghai existing buildings need to install the elevator, and Guangdong Province, the installation of elevators The demand for the building is about 180,000.
